Ontario Furnace Replacement 2026: 90%+ AFUE Requirement, Heat Pumps vs Gas and Costs

Furnace replacement in Ontario has gotten more complex with energy efficiency regulations and the growing heat pump market. Key facts for 2026:

AFUE minimum in Ontario: 90% AFUE required for all new/replacement furnace installations (Canada Energy Efficiency Regulations, effective 2019). Installing an 80% furnace is no longer code-compliant.

Gas furnace vs heat pump cost comparison (GTA 2026):

System Installed Cost Notes
High-efficiency gas furnace (96% AFUE) $4,500-$7,500 Includes PVC venting, thermostat
Ducted cold-climate heat pump (replace furnace + AC) $12,000-$22,000 Dual function: heat + cool
Dual-fuel hybrid (heat pump + gas backup below -15C) $16,000-$28,000 Optimal for Ontario climate

Venting change: Condensing furnaces (90%+) require PVC plastic flue (horizontal through wall) – can’t use existing metal chimney. Decommission or reline old chimney: $500-$1,500.

Incentives for heat pumps:

  • Canada Greener Homes Grant: up to $5,000
  • Enbridge Gas rebate: up to $2,500 for switching from gas
  • Canada Oil to Heat Pump Affordability: up to $10,000 (oil-heat homes)

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